Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.068553 0.075952 0.084064 0.093662 0.104764 0.117270 0.132520
2024-10-13 0.055807 0.065444 0.076853 0.091525 0.110140 0.133320 0.164928
2024-10-20 0.048519 0.059470 0.073248 0.092222 0.118279 0.153761 0.207512
2024-10-27 0.042765 0.054248 0.069404 0.091469 0.123848 0.171512 0.250998
2024-11-03 0.039034 0.050997 0.067459 0.092640 0.131911 0.194160 0.308350
2024-11-10 0.036049 0.048295 0.065762 0.093673 0.139658 0.217759 0.374966
2024-11-17 0.033246 0.045477 0.063453 0.093265 0.144793 0.237900 0.442314
2024-11-24 0.031246 0.043586 0.062246 0.094320 0.152437 0.264248 0.533265
2024-12-01 0.029540 0.041942 0.061189 0.095390 0.160188 0.292691 0.642491
2024-12-08 0.028002 0.040398 0.060092 0.096174 0.167460 0.322047 0.770013
2024-12-15 0.026484 0.038742 0.058622 0.096046 0.172833 0.348653 0.906085
2024-12-22 0.024945 0.036921 0.056689 0.094779 0.175559 0.369740 1.039074
2024-12-29 0.024044 0.036101 0.056433 0.096763 0.185935 0.414189 1.295007
2025-01-05 0.022659 0.034367 0.054416 0.095021 0.187584 0.435942 1.483020
2025-01-12 0.021786 0.033440 0.053762 0.095963 0.195799 0.479847 1.823736
2025-01-19 0.020769 0.032190 0.052404 0.095256 0.199835 0.512742 2.155315
2025-01-26 0.020090 0.031485 0.051997 0.096529 0.209246 0.567516 2.712508
2025-02-02 0.019444 0.030790 0.051543 0.097635 0.218492 0.626429 3.432251
2025-02-09 0.018673 0.029819 0.050474 0.097212 0.223422 0.671870 4.169141
2025-02-16 0.018126 0.029222 0.050089 0.098328 0.233118 0.742181 5.395950
2025-02-23 0.017617 0.028662 0.049731 0.099460 0.243186 0.820708 7.100707
2025-03-02 0.017112 0.028076 0.049271 0.100290 0.252572 0.902827 9.400893
2025-03-09 0.016549 0.027349 0.048464 0.100155 0.258841 0.974284 12.141407